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EXPERT SYSTEMS
Expert systems use a broadly related but different approach. They are
computer programs which are intended to exhibit intelligence at the level
of not merely an average human but of an expert in the field. To understand,
let us see how a medical practitioner diagnoses what is wrong with a patient.
He has his medical knowledge at the back of his mind. In a simplified
sense, this can be abstracted into a set of rules: e.g. if a patient has
fluctuating temperature, shivering, he has malaria, body ache and congestion
indicate flu - and so on. All of us do tend to act as medical experts
using similar rules. We make mistakes in our amateur diagnosis primarily
because our rule base is neither accurate nor extensive. What if such
rules, obtained from real experts, are incorporated into a computer program?
Thanks to infallible memory, potentially unlimited number of rules, it
should do even better than a human expert! It could even outperform medical
specialists by the simple trick of integrating the expertise gained from
several specialists. It should work particularly well in complicated cases
where the patient has several diseases. A human expert might get confused
due to the overlap of symptoms. Also in case of rare diseases, which the
doctor may not be familiar with.
Such an expert system should have an inference engine which looks at symptoms
and draws inferences using the rules given to it. In addition, it should
have an interaction facility to accept the rules that humans communicate
to it. Also, it should be able to tell the human user the basis of its
reasoning: why, in a given situation it has come to a particular diagnosis.
Many of us know that medical experts are often reticent in this respect.
They may say, “This is my diagnosis, take it or leave it,” and refuse
to discuss details any further.
The nice thing about expert systems is that much of what needs to go into
them is common for all application areas: medical diagnosis, automobile
repair or choice of machine tools for a particular job, or even playing
a game of chess. Only the rules will vary from application to application.
Expert systems therefore have a shell which incorporates all these interaction
facilities. For any given application, you only need to insert a specialized
rule base.
Expert
Systems could even outperform medical specialists by the simple trick
of integrating the expertise gained from several specialists. |
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